HypersomniacLive: @adaliabooks - two things:
- What is more interesting, if not telling, is hat Lifthrasil put you at L-1 in his very first post of today, using a reason he finds damning for you (the whole surprise thing), but somehow not for trentonlf, who thus still remains only an emergency lynch for him. Fully knowing that gogtrial34987 is more likely to vote you over trentonlf. And after waffling, once again, over drealmer7 at length, right after saying what a distraction he is.
- I'd say that if you get lynched and I get NK-ed, it would, at the very least, suggest that I'm on to something here, and gogtrial34987 should take it into serious consideration, as should drealmer7 and RWarehall. Regardless of how incriminating that may look for scum, the better scum strategy is to keep the one they (believe to) have a better chance to sway their opinion and vote, of course.
Not just that, his first response to my post yesterday was:
Lifthrasil: Hm. Extensive analysis and you make a compelling case. Either you are town and are on to something, or you are scum and have just written a quite elaborate misleading piece. In any case well done. Well enough to offset that self-vote slip (I still see that as scummy). At least for the moment.
unvote adalia But that doesn't mean, that you suddenly are cleared for me. Especially since I do disagree with your choice of target. Yes, you have made a good case that trent+drealmer is a possible scum pair. But even if they are, I would go for drealmer first.. I think it's better to lynch one of my three main suspects than to go for a second tier 'might be scum as well' suspect. After all, drealmer could very well be your scum-buddy too and all this piece about trent might be an elaborate scheme to distract from yourself and drealmer. Like: "Yes, sure, drealmer is totally scummy. But I'm surely not his buddy, look, trent would totally fit too!" So lynching trent first, based on a theory from you, would feel very risky to me.
So, how about that: we lynch drealmer first. If he flips scum (good chance that he will), you might be on to something and we lynch trent next. We can afford one mislynch then and if trent flips town, then I think my theory that it was drealmer and you after all is probably correct. And should drealmer flip town, we'll have to come back to RW and you.
I want to hear what trent (and HSL and gogtrial) have to say. Then I'll probably put my vote on drealmer. Unless someone points out something big I missed.
So I've been convincing enough for him to unvote me and consider lynching drealmer and only lynch trent if he is scum.
But today
Lifthrasil: But those walls of text between adalia and trent have made me go back to the start of the Day and made me realize something. adalia, you said now, that you weren't surprised at the start of the Day that Hunter flipped town. But that's not what you said in your first post. There you said 'I am mildly surprised, but not too much' ... quite non-committal. And you accuse trent of overplaying his surprise - but you did it yourself concerning the NK choice! Quite strongly, too and now you explained yourself why overplaying surprise is scummy.
So, I was quite willing to listen to your drealmer+trent theory. But after going back to the start of the day and the lack of participation of RW, I come back to the conclusion that I think you+RW is the more likely scum team than trent+drealmer. Especially since the story, that made me seriously consider trent+drealmer, came from you, who is still one of my main suspects.
Therefore back to:
vote adalia If you flip scum, trent is cleared and RW dies next (at least that would be my preference).
If you flip town, either trent or drealmer die tomorrow. (or me, because I pushed you, but then we lose. But all others would say the same about themselves)
After you vote trent and it looks like that wagon might have legs he suddenly decides that I must be scum after all.
It really looks to me like he had hoped to sway me and others round to voting drealmer instead of trent and then set me up for the fall tomorrow. When you spoiled that for him he hoped to quickly finish me off instead, with gogtrial likely to hammer me that seems reasonably likely.
Yeah, killing you or not will come down to all kinds of WIFOM I suppose. Quite frankly I don't know why they didn't kill you last night, I sure as hell would have if I had been scum, so I'm obviously not on the same wavelength as them.
